{
  "scope": "Geographic heldout full pipeline: weather correction nodes of heldout region are excluded, then chill logistic fits only training-region cases. Modeled DMA attainment is not observed flowering or yield. All candidate choices use same developmentfolds.",
  "weatherNodes": "44matchedperiodprimary plus2shortpartialdevelopmentstations, permonthsampleyears/15supportweights, fixed250kmGaussian max500km with3C/4.5C climate matching. No radius tuned to orchard outcomes.",
  "results": [
    {
      "support": "coarse",
      "mode": "rawWarm",
      "stations": 45,
      "stationSeasons": 919,
      "coefficients": {
        "intercept": -4.554710729088588,
        "slope": 6.1576372604983876
      },
      "brier": 0.03737437362636187,
      "fractionMAE": 0.043592144837161784,
      "folds": [
        {
          "region": "east-asia",
          "cases": 15,
          "brier": 0.021999208307444087,
          "fractionMAE": 0.03713022711834498,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.166320522967339,
            5.790379821059713
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "europe-fringe",
          "cases": 12,
          "brier": 0.00013297342094422312,
          "fractionMAE": 0.006851445618478003,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.500319386443546,
            6.083235582751138
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "iberia",
          "cases": 21,
          "brier": 0.029632762648459477,
          "fractionMAE": 0.03513819830912414,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.4438605036255066,
            6.092253897699327
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "mediterranean-east",
          "cases": 24,
          "brier": 0.024588734106685637,
          "fractionMAE": 0.052973748867228464,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.656448785813489,
            6.037229643252362
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "north-america",
          "cases": 30,
          "brier": 0.04776504682590977,
          "fractionMAE": 0.05189097938330343,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.039484899800115,
            5.762047961688127
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "oceania",
          "cases": 24,
          "brier": 0.04570455587244073,
          "fractionMAE": 0.0371218398241857,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.724672634096913,
            6.235288489979871
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "south-america",
          "cases": 6,
          "brier": 0.07131545719524995,
          "fractionMAE": 0.07371420591326437,
          "chillCoefficients": [
            -4.331103544598884,
            5.9439280279566455
          ]
        },
        {
          "region": "southern-africa",
          "cases": 3,
          "brier": 0.18126183694346207,
          "fractionMAE": 0.1155192962518982,
          "chillCoefficients": [
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            6.092359800433264
          ]
        }
      ],
      "cases": [
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          "targetModeledDMAAttainmentFraction": 1.0,
          "geographicHeldoutPrediction": 0.9996247307892673
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          "geographicHeldoutPrediction": 0.9879452736480354
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